I Feel Your Pain: The Effect of Regulator as a Minority Shareholder on Merger and Acquisition Performance

We examine the effect of a regulator-led advocate for minority shareholders on merger and acquisition (M&A) performance in China. In recent years, the China Securities Regulatory Commission established the China Securities Investor Services Center (CSISC), which began its ownership of 100 shares of public firms in 2016. The CSISC advocates for the interests of minority shareholders proactively. Focusing on abnormal stock returns in M&A announcements, we find that acquirers that have the CSISC as a shareholder (CSISC acquirers) exhibit higher positive abnormal stock returns than non-CSISC acquirers. Cross-sectional analysis suggests that the core results are mainly driven by firms with severe agency problems and weak external/internal monitoring, and those not controlled by the state. In addition, we find that CSISC acquirers have better long-term performance and encounter more M&A failures than non-CSISC acquirers. Our findings indicate that although the CSISC only holds 100 shares of listed companies, it plays an effective role in monitoring and driving firms to make appropriate M&A decisions.     

中小股东"在线发声"与企业会计稳健性——来自雪球论坛的证据

长期以来,中小股东参与公司治理的实际效果饱受质疑,而社交媒体为中小股东提供的"在线发声"平台极大地扭转了中小股东边缘化的弱势局面.文章基于2013-2017年雪球股票论坛的讨论帖数据,分析了中小股东在雪球股票论坛的讨论对企业会计稳健性的影响及其机制.研究发现,中小股东在社交媒体上的在线讨论显著提高了被讨论公司下一年的会计稳健性,这一作用主要通过增加监管介入、抑制大股东掏空和降低企业盈余管理水平实现.此外,社交媒体讨论提高会计稳健性降低了债务融资成本,增加了股东权益保护,提高了公司业绩.因此,社交媒体已成为影响会计稳健性的重要因素,是中小股东参与公司治理的新"通道".文章的研究有助于揭示社交媒体的公司治理价值,丰富和更新中小股东在公司治理中的作用和功能,为会计稳健性的影响因素研究提供新的视角与证据.     

非国有大股东对国企超额雇员的影响:成本效应还是激励效应

基于竞争理论的国企改革思路强调减少政策性负担摊派,基于产权理论的改革思路侧重于引入非国有资本,以解决产权不清晰与所有者缺位问题.本文尝试融合两种理论,以国企超额雇员问题为研究对象,从非国有大股东视角探究混合所有制改革成效.研究发现:非国有大股东能够显著降低国企超额雇员,减弱超额雇员对公司价值的损害作用,且该治理作用会随非国有大股东相对力量的提高而增强;从作用机制来看,该治理作用不仅表现为劳动力成本尤其是员工薪酬的节约,还表现为内部薪酬差距和管理层薪酬业绩敏感性的提高,兼具成本效应与激励效应;该作用在地区就业压力较小、劳动密集度较低以及劳动保护水平更低的环境下更为显著.     

全球系统重要性银行变化趋势研究

针对2008年金融危机中暴露出的"大而不能倒"问题,自2011年起,金融稳定委员会开始推出全球系统重要性银行(G-SIBs)名单,并对上榜银行提出了更审慎的监管要求。从已公布的9期名单看,G-SIBs成员格局发生了较大变化,欧洲G-SIBs数量不断下降,来自中国和加拿大的银行数量不断增多。为降低监管成本,多数G-SIBs采取了去同业、去复杂化的发展策略,同时加大托管、清算等金融基础设施功能的发挥,G-SIBs系统重要性得分整体呈现下降趋势。近些年来中资G-SIBs系统重要性得分持续快速上升,由此产生的监管成本值得高度关注。建议中资G-SIBs客观评估纳入G-SIBs的监管成本,实现业务发展和监管成本的平衡。     

Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices: The Increasing Role of Energy Prices

Open Economies Review - A number of researchers have found that the rate of exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to domestic prices has declined substantially over the last few decades. We revisit...     

基于FDS的体育馆火灾数值模拟分析

对体育馆的防火分区和疏散距离问题进行分析,针对存在的问题提出了相应的消防措施.建立建筑信息模型(BIM)对不同火源位置、火灾热释放速率、自动灭火系统和排烟系统的有效性进行定量分析,设置一系列火灾场景,利用FDS软件对各火灾场景下的烟气蔓延、最小清晰高度处的温度、CO浓度、能见度进行数值模拟,分析消防安全措施的有效性.模拟结果表明,在采取相应的消防措施后,该体育馆在火灾条件下能够满足整体消防安全疏散的要求.     

基于卷积神经网络的列车检测算法研究

列车检测作为列车自动驾驶的核心技术,可以有效地降低列车追尾等事故造成的人身危险和财产损失。为实现精准的列车检测,选用改进的卷积神经网络(PVANET)对输入图像进行特征提取,在此基础上,采用候选区域网络,从生成的特征图里滑动搜索,判断出图像中可能为列车的区域位置,并进一步采用快速区域卷积神经网络对每个候选区域进行分类,计算出其所属类别的置信度,同时精确定位列车。经验证,该方法适应范围广、鲁棒性高,可以有效地检测不同环境光强及不同朝向的列车,保障列车安全,为列车自动驾驶及辅助驾驶提供安全保障。     

自我监控人格对创新绩效的影响:基于社会信息处理理论

中国文化背景下,人们更容易表现出高自我监控特征,但目前对自我监控人格与创新绩效的研究还相对不足.基于社会信息处理理论,采用25家企业441个员工的调研数据,探究自我监控人格对创新绩效的影响机制.研究结果表明,自我监控人格对创新绩效存在显著驱动作用;组织创新氛围感知、员工个体创造力以"串联"结构在自我监控人格与创新绩效的关系间发挥链式中介作用.上述发现扩展了自我监控人格与创新绩效间作用路径,为企业管理人员正视员工自我监控人格以促进员工创新绩效提供了一定启示.     

MODELING SOVEREIGN RISKS: FROM A HYBRID MODEL TO THE GENERALIZED DENSITY APPROACH

Motivated by the European sovereign debt crisis, we propose a hybrid sovereign default model that combines an accessible part taking into account the evolution of the sovereign solvency and the impact of critical political events, and a totally inaccessible part for the idiosyncratic credit risk. We obtain closed‐form formulas for the probability that the default occurs at critical political dates in a Markovian setting. Moreover, we introduce a generalized density framework for the hybrid default time and deduce the compensator process of default. Finally, we apply the hybrid model and the generalized density to the valuation of sovereign bonds and explain the significant jumps in long‐term government bond yields during the sovereign crisis.     

Understanding precedents for frontline employee turnover in luxury hotels: Emotional intelligence as a unifying factor

Current turnover research fails to serve the needs of an industry that is long plagued by employee turnover. Existing literature focuses more on evaluating bundles of human resource practices and fail to provide precise and clear guidance for practitioners. This study proposes that emotional intelligence (EI) unifies sufficient individual factors and organizational factors that affect employee turnover and serves as a single significant precedent for turnover. Data were collected from frontline employees at eight luxury hotels. The direct, indirect, and total impacts of employee EI on employee turnover were tested by structural equation modeling and bootstrap tests. The results suggest that EI has significant indirect impacts through the mediation of perceived organizational support, pay satisfaction and job burnout, and significant total impacts on turnover. Implication suggestions include integrating EI into the recruiting process for new employees and providing training opportunities for current employees to improve their EI.